By: Edward Egros

football

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 11

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It's the biggest game in the Big 12: Baker Mayfield and Oklahoma hosting TCU, #5 vs #6. The loser may have its playoff hopes dashed, while the winner stays in the running for one of those four coveted spots. We preview this game and offer other predictions for Week 11 of the college football season.

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 10

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Texas A&M is becoming one of the tougher teams to predict how well they will do from game to game. One reason is Kyle Field has not provided the homefield advantage Aggie fans would like. How will they fair in another home game, this time against Auburn? We go over that contest and offer predictions for Week 10 of the college football season.

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 9

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One way to predict who will make the College Football Playoff is to rank the power of each Power 5 conference. Is the Big 12 among the best, with TCU and Oklahoma in the mix? We look at that idea and offer predictions for Week 9 of the college football season.

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 8

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Midway thru October and another full month to go, the College Football Playoff committee has a lot of time to determine which four teams will ultimately play for the National Championship. Using some historical trends, we explain how many teams still have a chance at the title, plus offer predictions for Week 8 of the season.

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 7

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Are rivalries tougher to predict than regular college football games? This weekend is the Red River Showdown between Texas and Oklahoma, one of the better rivalries in the sport. I break down the numbers as to if this rivalry is more uncertain than any other, plus pick some of the other top games of Week 7.

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 6

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For the last several years, Gary Patterson has done more with less than any college football coach in America. In other words, the disparity between the rankings of his recruiting and the success he has on Saturdays is as large as with any program in college football. But now that TCU has been in the Big 12 for a few years and as recruiting rankings become more accurate, is Coach P still the most efficient?

Our college football model only takes into account the sophomore and junior recruiting classes, using 247 composite rankings. I averaged those two classes, then compared them with where they stand in the latest AP Poll. Here are the results:

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The closer a team appears in the upper-right corner, the more they've done with less. Intuitively, it makes sense mid-majors take the first three spots. The Power 5 school with the biggest disparity is Washington, a playoff team from a year ago. The next best is actually Oklahoma State, then TCU. Though the Cowboys rank slightly higher than the Horned Frogs, TCU did win that matchup a couple of weeks ago.

Posted below is the TV segment where I summarize these findings. I also offer college football picks for Week 6 of the season:

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 5

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TCU owns one of the bigger upsets of the season, knocking off Oklahoma State. It catapulted the Frogs to the Top 10 in the latest AP Poll. But do they genuinely belong there? We go over the analytics and also offer predictions for Week 5 of the college football season.

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 4

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(Courtesy: Getty Images)

Baker Mayfield has company when it comes to leading one of the more potent offenses in college football. It's his Oklahoma State counterpart Mason Rudolph. We go over the numbers and offer predictions as to if each gunslinger can remain undefeated after Week 4 of the season.

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 3

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(Courtesy: John W. McDonough Getty Images)

Will this year's Heisman conversation be about quarterbacks who are winners, or gunslingers with slightly better statistics? We go over some of the possibilities and present predictions for Week 3 of the season.

VIDEO: 2017 College Football Predictions Week 2

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Week 2 of our college football picks include a big DFW showdown between SMU and North Texas and a Top 5 battle between Oklahoma and Ohio State, plus we'll have an explanation as to why Texas A&M blew such a big lead against UCLA.

VIDEO: The Meaning of Takeaways with Sean Lee

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If there's one thing everyone attached to football can agree upon, turnovers have a huge impact when it comes to the outcome of a game. Where the disagreement persists is what causes turnovers. While there are certainly things players can do to minimize turnovers offensively or maximize takeaways defensively, how much does technique and play design really matter? Does style make a statistically significant impact to increasing the turnover margin? In this interview with Cowboys veteran linebacker Sean Lee, I ask him about how much his technique matters versus plain luck, and how he evaluates takeaways in his overall game.

Lions at Cowboys Final Stats

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The Dallas Cowboys had their most efficient offensive performance of the season, en route to their 13th win by knocking off the Detroit Lions 42-21. Dallas had already clinched the top seed in the NFC playoffs, but played nearly all of its starters. They are expected to do the same next week against Philadelphia, the regular-season finale before the playoffs.

Cowboys at Giants Final Stats

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The Dallas Cowboys suffer their first loss since the beginning of the season, to the same team they played, the New York Giants, 10-7. Dak Prescott played his worst game of his career and the Cowboys offense was the least efficient it has been all season long. Though the Giants did not play much better, they come away with a season sweep.

Cowboys at Vikings Final Stats

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The Dallas Cowboys improve to 11-1 on the season, defeating the Minnesota Vikings 17-15. Dallas needed a stop on a two-point conversion attempt to survive in Minneapolis. Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott had some of their lower standard statistics (and a few advanced statistics too).

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 14

It's the final Saturday of the regular-season and now only is it time to make picks, it's time to project who will make the playoff.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 13

We've talked before about what it takes to win the National Championship, that often it is dictated by defensive efficiency metrics. But how much does a quarterback factor into the equation? We look at the numbers and offer our predictions for Week 13 of the season.

Redskins at Cowboys Final Stats

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The Dallas Cowboys defeated the Washington Redskins, on Thanksgiving, 31-26. Washington was incredibly inefficient offensively, mounting lengthy drives that ended in either field goals or missed field goal attempts. Dallas controlled the game especially in the 4th quarter, despite not winning time of possession.

Ravens at Cowboys Final Stats

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The Dallas Cowboys set a couple of franchise marks after defeating the Baltimore Ravens 27-17. It's the first time Dallas has defeated the Ravens, so the franchise has now defeated every modern-day team in the NFL. They also win their ninth-straight, the first time they have ever done that within the regular-season.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 12

Despite a number of losses for the top teams in college football, there was not a major shakeup in the latest playoff rankings. We'll explain what it means for the Oklahoma Sooners and the rest of the Big 12, as well as offer our predictions for the slate of games for Week 12 of the season.

Cowboys at Steelers Final Stats

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The Dallas Cowboys defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 35-30, in a game with seven lead changes, including two in the final two minutes. Dallas improves to 8-1, now the best record in the NFL.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 11

The Oklahoma Sooners still have a negligible chance of making the College Football Playoff, especially when considering where they stand in the latest rankings. We also offer our predictions for the slate of games for Week 11 of the season.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 10

Texas A&M may have shocked the college football world by being ranked in the Top 4, ahead of undefeated Washington. But does this mean the Aggies will make the playoff if they do not lose any games between now and then? We also offer predictions for the slate of games in Week 10.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 9

It's the final Saturday before the College Football Playoff committee releases its first rankings. Which teams in the Lone Star state could still conceivably make the final rankings? We also offer predictions for the slate of games in Week 9.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 8

Analytics are not simply what we use to predict the winners of college football games, teams are using these tools for a variety of reasons. After breaking those down, we use similar tools to predict this week's games.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 7

Texas has a history of college football success. But data also suggests the school offers little wiggle room when a head coach falls short of expectations. We go over how analytics suggests Charlie Strong may not last much longer in Austin, plus offer weekly predictions for Week 7.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 6

The Red River Showdown might as well have the byline: "Expect the Unexpected". We explain why this rivalry has been so unpredictable, and we offer predictions for Week 6.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 4

The Big 12 Conference is struggling through perhaps its worst start since the league's inception. Could it still be possible that its champion winds up in the College Football Playoff? We also offer predictions for Week 4.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 3

Is it better for a team to suffer a loss at the beginning of the season or near the end? We look at how past national champions put themselves in the best position for success. We also offer predictions for Week 3.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 2

Which game from the opening weekend of college football had perhaps the most exaggerated consequences when it comes to the College Football Playoff projections? We also offer predictions for Week 2.

VIDEO: College Football Predictions Week 1

We look at how difficult it is to predict the College Football Playoff field and predict some of the bigger games for the opening weekend of college football.